Should You Buy Now or Wait in Portland, OR?
Pre-filled with Portland's median home price of $540,000, a typical rent of $2,350/month, and a 1% property tax rate. Adjust the rate and price assumptions to see whether buying now or waiting comes out ahead.
Your situation
Negative = you expect prices to fall before you buy.
Waiting comes out ahead over 7 years
By $86,863 in net worth
π Buy now β net worth at year 7
$246,039
β³ Wait 18mo β net worth at year 7
$332,902
Break-even price
5.5%/yr
Break-even rate
β
Rent while waiting
$43,211
Waiting is ahead by $86,863 at year 7
Waiting ends with $332,902 in net worth β $86,863 more than the alternative β and holds up across a reasonable range of rate and price assumptions. Waiting only pulls ahead if prices move below about 5.5%/yr during the wait.
- βΊShortening the wait from 18 to 6 months cuts the $43,211 of rent you'd otherwise burn before owning.
- βΊWaiting only pulls ahead if prices move below about 5.5%/yr during the wait.
β‘ Waiting 18 months means $43,211 paid in rent with no equity to show for it.
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The Portland market and the timing decision
Oregon's lack of sales tax combined with its high income tax creates a different overall tax profile than most states β high earners should model their full state tax burden carefully rather than relying on income tax rate alone.
Oregon has one of the highest state income tax rates in the country at up to 9.9%, but has no state sales tax β and Portland's property tax rate of 1.0% is close to the national average.
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Educational content only β not financial advice
Local price, rent, and tax figures are estimates for Portland, OR and will differ by neighborhood and property. Future mortgage rates and home prices cannot be predicted. Consult a qualified mortgage, financial, or real estate professional before making a home-purchase decision.